Friday, October 07, 2005

Not Vaulting the Polls

It is clear that W. is in trouble. Billmon has a good commentary on the latest CBS poll so I'll just post the following data:

Right Track
Now-26%
9/2005-31%
5/2004-30%
3/2003-52%
11/1994-30%

Wrong Track
Now-69%
9/2005-63%
5/2004-65%
3/2003-41%
11/1994-65%

These numbers are self explanatory. They indicate a growing and deep-set dissatisfaction with the current Administration which still has over three years to run.

I do not think that any other major government is so locked into its leadership as is ours. Many parlimentary democracies can depose an administration with a vote of no confidence in the parliment, or, at least, force new elections. We can't do that. Until now, it seemed like a good thing. Americans were viewed as uneducated and, as such, potentially irresponsible. If we had a different system, we would be changing governments every ten minutes.

The down side is that when we have a truly unpopular government with no relief possible for three years, we are in deep trouble. Even a takeover of Congress by the Democrats would not yield a dramatic change because both the Executive and, in particular, the Supreme Court would still be in the hands of the Bush radicals.

This has all the makings of a serious Constitutional crisis. I just can't see, and here I am echoing Billmon, how America can go on for three years like this. Of course, it won't. But what will happen is anyone's guess.

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